{"id":13309,"date":"2026-07-06T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-07-05T17:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/beta.toffeedev.com\/mandiri-new\/uncategorized-id\/weekly-market-recap-29-juni-3-juli-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-07-16T11:19:06","modified_gmt":"2026-07-16T04:19:06","slug":"weekly-market-recap-29-juni-3-juli-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/beta.toffeedev.com\/mandiri-new\/artikel\/weekly-market-recap-29-juni-3-juli-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Market Recap 29 Juni &#8211; 3 Juli 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Ringkasan Pasar:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-section-id=\"xsohwp\" data-start=\"247\" data-end=\"391\">\n<p data-start=\"407\" data-end=\"629\"><strong data-start=\"407\" data-end=\"425\">Global Equity: <\/strong>Pasar saham global mayoritas ditutup menguat, dengan Indeks MSCI World naik sebesar +2,07% WoW, didukung oleh data ketenagakerjaan AS yang lebih lemah sehingga meredakan ekspektasi kenaikan suku bunga The Fed.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"xsohwp\" data-start=\"247\" data-end=\"391\">\n<p data-start=\"407\" data-end=\"629\"><strong data-start=\"631\" data-end=\"651\">Domestic Equity: <\/strong>IHSG turun sebesar -0,35% WoW seiring meningkatnya perhatian pasar terhadap risiko nilai tukar setelah Indonesia mencatat defisit neraca perdagangan pertama sejak 2020 serta meningkatnya kekhawatiran terhadap keberlanjutan keseimbangan eksternal. Investor asing mencatat <em data-start=\"827\" data-end=\"840\">net outflow<\/em> sebesar Rp3,2 triliun sepanjang pekan.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"xsohwp\" data-start=\"247\" data-end=\"391\">\n<p data-start=\"407\" data-end=\"629\"><strong data-start=\"852\" data-end=\"877\">Domestic Bond Market:<\/strong> Imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah Indonesia (IndoGB) tenor 10 tahun relatif stabil di level 7,14% (+2 bps WoW).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p> <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Berita Utama Pekan Ini:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-section-id=\"1jou9fr\" data-start=\"811\" data-end=\"1006\">\n<p data-start=\"1073\" data-end=\"1277\">Data ketenagakerjaan AS menunjukkan perlambatan, dengan penambahan <em data-start=\"1128\" data-end=\"1137\">payroll<\/em> pada Juni sebanyak 57.000, sementara data dua bulan sebelumnya direvisi turun sebanyak 74.000. Tingkat pengangguran turun menjadi 4,2%. Di sisi lain, data penyerapan tenaga kerja versi ADP berada di bawah ekspektasi, sedangkan jumlah lowongan pekerjaan (<em data-start=\"1392\" data-end=\"1412\">JOLTS Job Openings<\/em>) melampaui perkiraan.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"1jou9fr\" data-start=\"811\" data-end=\"1006\">\n<p data-start=\"1073\" data-end=\"1277\">Indeks PMI Manufaktur ISM AS turun menjadi 53,3 pada Juni dari 54,0 pada Mei, namun masih mencatat ekspansi selama enam bulan berturut-turut. Indeks pesanan baru tetap kuat di level 56,0, sementara indeks harga yang dibayar (<em data-start=\"1661\" data-end=\"1674\">Prices Paid<\/em>) turun tajam menjadi 73,0, mengindikasikan tekanan biaya mulai mereda.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"1jou9fr\" data-start=\"811\" data-end=\"1006\">\n<p data-start=\"1073\" data-end=\"1277\">Inflasi Indonesia pada Juni meningkat menjadi 3,34% YoY, didorong oleh kenaikan harga transportasi dan bahan bakar. Sementara itu, inflasi inti (<em data-start=\"1892\" data-end=\"1908\">core inflation<\/em>) naik menjadi 2,76% YoY, tertinggi sejak April 2023.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"1jou9fr\" data-start=\"811\" data-end=\"1006\">\n<p data-start=\"1073\" data-end=\"1277\">Indonesia mencatat defisit neraca perdagangan sebesar USD1,61 miliar, mengakhiri tren surplus selama enam tahun terakhir. Kondisi ini terutama dipengaruhi oleh melemahnya ekspor CPO serta meningkatnya impor mesin dan peralatan.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"1jou9fr\" data-start=\"811\" data-end=\"1006\">Indeks PMI Manufaktur Indonesia versi S&amp;P Global turun menjadi 46,9 pada Juni 2026 dari 50,0 pada Mei. Angka tersebut merupakan level terendah sejak Juni 2025 sekaligus kontraksi kedua yang terjadi sepanjang tahun ini.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p> <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Pandangan Kami:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"PDq2pG_selectionAnchorContainer\" data-start=\"2440\" data-end=\"2783\">Fokus pasar pada pekan depan akan tertuju pada rilis data sektor jasa, perdagangan, perumahan, dan ketenagakerjaan AS yang berpotensi memengaruhi arah kebijakan The Fed, pergerakan dolar AS, serta sentimen risiko di pasar negara berkembang. Di dalam negeri, perhatian pasar akan tertuju pada data cadangan devisa dan Indeks Keyakinan Konsumen.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2785\" data-end=\"3348\">Pasar saham Indonesia diperkirakan masih dibayangi oleh defisit neraca perdagangan dan meningkatnya risiko nilai tukar, dengan arah pergerakan jangka pendek yang dipengaruhi oleh pergerakan Rupiah, data eksternal, serta perkembangan kesenjangan antara valuasi pasar yang masih rendah dan ekspektasi pertumbuhan laba. Kami melihat adanya perbedaan yang semakin lebar antara valuasi pasar saat ini dan prospek pertumbuhan laba, sehingga penciptaan <em data-start=\"3231\" data-end=\"3238\">alpha<\/em> diperkirakan tetap akan terutama berasal dari alokasi sektor yang disiplin dan pemilihan saham yang selektif.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3350\" data-end=\"3638\">Di pasar pendapatan tetap, sikap proaktif Bank Indonesia dalam menjaga stabilitas nilai tukar serta prospek kembalinya aliran dana asing menjadikan strategi durasi semakin menarik bagi investor jangka menengah hingga panjang, meskipun volatilitas jangka pendek masih berpotensi berlanjut.<\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Rekomendasi:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<div data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\"><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">RD MISB, RD MMUSD, RD IDAMAN, RD MIDU, RD MIDSYA, RD MGSED, RD MASED, RD FTSE, ETF LQ45, ETF SRI Kehati, MICB, MITRAS.\u00c2 <\/span><\/div>\n<p> Simak pembahasan mendalam seputar pergerakan pasar pekan ini dalam laporan lengkap <em>Weekly Market Recap<\/em>:\u00c2 <a class=\"invest-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mandiri-investasi.co.id\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Mandiri-Investasi-Weekly-Market-Recap-29-Jun-3-Jul-2026.pdf\">Baca Selengkapnya<\/a><\/p>\n<p> &nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p> &nbsp;<\/p>\n<table class=\"table table-striped table-bordered\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>PRODUK<\/th>\n<th>3M PERFORMANCE<\/th>\n<th>YTD PERFORMANCE<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/quote\/JCI:IND\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">JCI<\/a><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">\u00c2 -16.38%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">\u00c2 -32.05%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/quote\/LQ45:IND\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">LQ45<\/a><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-18.58%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-31.28%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\"><strong>Saham<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mandiri-investasi.co.id\/id\/produk\/reksa-dana\/saham\/mandiri-investa-atraktif-mitra-kelas-a\/?utm_source=weekly-market-recap\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MITRA A<\/a><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-13.56%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-22.60%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mandiri-investasi.co.id\/id\/produk\/reksa-dana\/saham\/mandiri-investa-cerdas-bangsa-micb-kelas-a\/?utm_source=weekly-market-recap\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MICB A<\/a><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-14.06%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-21.81%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mandiri-investasi.co.id\/en\/products\/mutual-fund\/equity-fund\/mandiri-investa-equity-asean-5-plus-asean-5\/?utm_source=weekly-market-recap\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ASEAN5<\/a><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-14.23%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">23.47%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mandiri-investasi.co.id\/id\/produk\/reksa-dana\/syariah\/mandiri-global-sharia-equity-dollar-mgsed-kelas-a\/?utm_source=weekly-market-recap\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MGSED<\/a><\/td>\n<td>+<span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">16.68%<\/span><\/td>\n<td>+<span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">15.06%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\"><strong>Index<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mandiri-investasi.co.id\/id\/produk\/reksa-dana\/indeks\/mandiri-indeks-ftse-indonesia-esg-kelas-a\/?utm_source=weekly-market-recap\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FTSE ESG A<\/a><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-11.46%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-23.71%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\"><strong>ETF<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mandiri-investasi.co.id\/en\/products\/mutual-fund\/etf\/mandiri-etf-lq45\/?utm_source=weekly-market-recap\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">XMLF<\/a><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-15.79%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-28.02%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\"><strong>Campuran<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mandiri-investasi.co.id\/id\/produk\/reksa-dana\/syariah\/mandiri-investa-syariah-berimbang-misb\/?utm_source=weekly-market-recap\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MISB<\/a><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-13.09%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-13.55%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mandiri-investasi.co.id\/id\/produk\/reksa-dana\/campuran\/mandiri-investa-aktif-mia\/?utm_source=weekly-market-recap\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MIA<\/a><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-16.06%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-15.82%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\"><strong>Pendapatan Tetap<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mandiri-investasi.co.id\/id\/reksa-dana\/pendapatan-tetap\/mandiri-investa-dana-utama-midu\/?utm_source=weekly-market-recap\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MIDU A<\/a><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-1.72%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-1.97%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mandiri-investasi.co.id\/id\/produk\/reksa-dana\/pendapatan-tetap\/mandiri-investa-dana-obligasi-seri-ii-mido-ii\/?utm_source=weekly-market-recap\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MIDO2<\/a><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-3.17%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-3.52%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mandiri-investasi.co.id\/id\/produk\/reksa-dana\/pendapatan-tetap\/investa-dana-dollar-mandiri-idaman\/?utm_source=weekly-market-recap\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">IDAMAN A<\/a><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-1.88%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">-2.10%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\"><strong>Pasar Uang<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mandiri-investasi.co.id\/id\/produk\/reksa-dana\/pasar-uang\/mandiri-investa-pasar-uang-mipu-a-2\/?utm_source=weekly-market-recap\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MIPU A<\/a><\/td>\n<td><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">+1.24%<\/span><\/td>\n<td>+<span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">1.11%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mandiri-investasi.co.id\/id\/produk\/reksa-dana\/pasar-uang\/mandiri-money-market-usd-mmusd\/?utm_source=weekly-market-recap\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MMUSD<\/a><\/td>\n<td>+<span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">1.38%<\/span><\/td>\n<td>+<span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">1.27%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p> *Data diatas adalah data per tanggal\u00c2 3 Juli 2026<\/p>\n<p> &nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h3 id=\"info-lebih-lanjut\">Info Lebih Lanjut<\/h3>\n<p> Hubungi Mandiri Investasi -\u00c2 <a href=\"tel:0215263505\">(021) 526 3505<\/a> \u00e2\u20ac\u0152<\/p>\n<p> \u00e2\u20ac\u0152Email Mandiri Investasi -\u00c2 cs@mandiri-investasi.co.id\u00e2\u20ac\u0152<\/p>\n<p> \u00e2\u20ac\u0152Mandiri Investasi &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mandiri-investasi.co.id\/\">mandiri-investasi.co.id<\/a><\/p>\n<p> \u00e2\u20ac\u0152\u00e2\u20ac\u0152<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p> <em>DISCLAIMER<\/em>\u00e2\u20ac\u0152<\/p>\n<p> \u00e2\u20ac\u0152<em>\u00e2\u20ac\u0152<\/em><\/p>\n<p> <em>\u00e2\u20ac\u0152Pendapat yang diungkapkan dalam artikel adalah untuk tujuan informasi umum saja dan tidak dimaksudkan untuk memberikan saran atau rekomendasi khusus untuk individu atau produk keamanan atau investasi tertentu. Ini hanya dimaksudkan untuk memberikan edukasi tentang industri keuangan. Pandangan yang tercermin dalam konten dapat berubah sewaktu-waktu tanpa pemberitahuan. Seluruh data kinerja dan return investasi yang tertera di artikel ini tidak dapat digunakan sebagai dasar jaminan perhitungan untuk membeli atau menjual suatu efek. Data tersebut merupakan catatan kinerja berdasarkan data historis dan bukan merupakan jaminan atas kinerja suatu efek di masa mendatang. Investasi melalui reksa dana mengandung risiko. Investor wajib membaca dan memahami prospektus sebelum memutuskan untuk berinvestasi melalui reksa dana<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ekspektasi kenaikan suku bunga The Fed mereda, sementara defisit neraca perdagangan meningkatkan perhatian pasar terhadap risiko nilai tukar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13310,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[351,367,368],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13309","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-artikel","category-market-insights","category-market-update"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weekly Market Recap 29 Juni - 3 Juli 2026 - Mandiri Investasi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ekspektasi kenaikan suku bunga The Fed mereda, sementara defisit neraca perdagangan meningkatkan perhatian pasar terhadap risiko nilai tukar.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"id_ID\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Weekly Market Recap 29 Juni - 3 Juli 2026 - Mandiri Investasi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Ekspektasi kenaikan suku bunga The Fed mereda, sementara defisit neraca perdagangan meningkatkan perhatian pasar terhadap risiko nilai tukar.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/beta.toffeedev.com\/mandiri-new\/artikel\/weekly-market-recap-29-juni-3-juli-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Mandiri Investasi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-07-05T17:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-07-16T04:19:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/beta.toffeedev.com\/mandiri-new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Gambar-Artikel-WMR-Market-Macro-etc.-1000x605px-1-4.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"605\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"toffeedev\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Ditulis oleh\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"toffeedev\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimasi waktu membaca\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 menit\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/beta.toffeedev.com\\\/mandiri-new\\\/artikel\\\/weekly-market-recap-29-juni-3-juli-2026\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/beta.toffeedev.com\\\/mandiri-new\\\/artikel\\\/weekly-market-recap-29-juni-3-juli-2026\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"toffeedev\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/beta.toffeedev.com\\\/mandiri-new\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/c57d120b9c9ecc696004f17a01098a8e\"},\"headline\":\"Weekly Market Recap 29 Juni &#8211; 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